In case you are sleeping too well and need something to keep you awake at night, try thinking about the presidential election process. Not the age or moral character of the candidates. Not their positions on the issues.
Think about the Electoral College, where current polling numbers portend a coming crisis. Then bid farewell to sleep.
For months, we have heard that the popular vote for president is likely to be close. Polls aggregated by the Real Clear Politics website, which has been called the “Dow Jones of campaign coverage,” have shown that the gap between President Biden and former President Trump has not exceeded two percentage points since February. During much of that time period, the gap has been less than one point.
But there’s little reason to worry about the closeness of the popular vote because we don’t choose our presidents based on such votes. Instead, of course, we select our presidents based on who gets a majority of the Electoral College votes. And if prospects for a very close popular vote scare you, you should find the prospects for a close Electoral College contest downright terrifying.
There is a realistic possibility that come November the Electoral College tally could be decided by only two votes. There is even a possibility that the Electoral College could end up in a tie. That latter scenario may be less realistic, but it is not at all far-fetched.
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