If you believe the conventional wisdom, Barack Obama won reelection because his campaign executed an incredibly efficient ground game, which mobilized Hispanic voters, and the growing demographic power of that constituency propelled him to victory.
According to this version of political history, the electorate is becoming increasingly Hispanic. About 50,000 Latino citizens reach voting age every month. That represents 600,000 potential new voters every year. Exit polls show that Obama did phenomenally well with this constituency, winning their votes by a 71-29 percentage margin over Romney. Obama’s Chicago tacticians devised ingenious methods of identifying and contacting these voters, and getting them to vote, thus fueling his narrow but decisive victory.
Therefore, if you believe the conventional wisdom, the Republican Party faces a choice. It can ignore this rapidly expanding constituency and face the prospect of permanent minority party status. Or the Party can revamp, softening its positions on immigration to appeal to Latino voters.
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